Monday 19 May 2014

[Week 10] Ukraine - what else?

Ukraine, freedom from mafia

World leaders have been scrambled for the past months, nervous about the rising conflict in Ukraine.  Three months, to be lying, 2 years to be honest. But the past weeks have spiraled out of control with domestic war ongoing, many deaths and as defined by the people themselves –a  burning war zone.



There are three basic reasons that led to disorganization, chaos and a military conflict:
  1. Broken promise between the president and citizens. Yanukovych promised to pursue connection with EU by trade as well as to merge Ukraine with EU. In November he denied all of that and refused to sign the treaty.
  2. Everlasting cold war between Russian and Ukraine (generally speaking with the West) for influence over countries in the East still locked in the soviet era. Even though Europe and the US are trying to bring democracy to these regions, it is not in Kremlin’s long term programs. They have a different motive, expand military and economic power. Russia saw a threat to its big military and economic interests in Ukraine. This was the main reason for Russia’s pressure.
  3. Public distress over the government especially latest brutal reaction to street protest (regarding not signing the treaty). These reactions were against what Ukrainians identified themselves with –a  peaceful society.
Ever since 2009 when EU proposed a partnership program with post-soviet countries (including Ukraine) Russia has gone against EU saying that the treaty is working against them. Why? Their Black Sea naval fleet is stationed in Ukraine, a gas pipeline goes through Ukraine to major buyers in EU. Imagine now that as a president, you have to keep everything in balance. Cooperate with EU or Russia? After some time, it was obvious which decision would be made (Russia gave 15 billion $ worth of gas discount).

Now, a bigger issue no one is talking about. Mafia.

This whole thing is not about EU, not about the Schengen Zone nor any other treaties. This whole thing (protests) is against the Ukrainian mafia (which has called themselves a new political power and are making illegal elections).  Funny fact – Yanukovich was twice imprisoned for robbery when he was young J all 

Ukrainian insiders need  help. We all say that we pick a president in elections, well their elections had a huge number of violations (remember counting in Polish elections was made by Russians trololol, well the story is far from the truth, but it is important who counts the votes). Threats of dismissal (I think it’s obvious what it means), forced to take pictures of their votes, brutal treatment of women, connections. Everything went bad.
Now what? Are we on the brink of WWIII?
Questions:
  1. Do you think the Polish government is as corrupted as Ukrainian?
  2. What do you think will be the next big step?
  3. What would you do if it was in fact the beginning of WWIII? 
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5 comments:

  1. Tomek Kerber23 May 2014 at 19:46

    1. Polish governmenet is corrupted, but still not to that extent as it happened in Ukraine. Everyone probably saw Yanukovych's real estate with a pirate ship. Or, hmm, the painting of him naked... It goes without saying what was happening there...
    2. Partisan war. And Russian "anonimous" troops, till Ukraine will split.
    3.Ribbentrop-Molotov pact.

    ReplyDelete
  2. armandstanczak25 May 2014 at 18:53

    Tomek
    I can agree with second - this is probably what is going to happen, but the pact is just an agreement. Just like NATO and everything else from nowadays. Russia will most likely do whatever they want if they see some gain from that. As You can see with Ukraine, they can do whatever they can, noone can really stop them.

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  3. Natalia25 May 2014 at 21:33

    Do you think the Polish government is as corrupted as Ukrainian?
    It is hard to say if Polish government is as corrupted as Ukrainian, but for sure we have better political and economic situation than Ukraine. Maybe our government is even more corruptted, but what about it?

    What do you think will be the next big step?
    In my opinion, nothing will happen, Russia will try to keep Crimea and current Ukrainian government will try to prevent millitary actions from everyone, especially Russia.

    ReplyDelete
  4. armandstanczak25 May 2014 at 21:47

    Natalia
    I think the current situation won't last too long. No gain for Russia. I think they will divide Ukraine soon

    ReplyDelete
  5. s1038926 May 2014 at 13:51

    1. I think that every government has corrupted politicians, polish also.
    But what is going on in Ukraine is pathological and Russia is the one who should be blamed.
    2. No idea. Putin is capable of everything when chasing his goals.
    3. I would be shocked for sure. Hard to say what after that.

    ReplyDelete

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